Valeriy’s Substack

Valeriy’s Substack

Weaponizing the Recursion: Why Wall Street & AI Obsess Over Moments 📉

We learned how to calculate them. Now let's see why the 4th Moment crashes economies and the 2nd Moment builds neural networks.

Valeriy Manokhin's avatar
Valeriy Manokhin
Dec 10, 2025
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In my last post, we derived the “cheat code” for the Normal distribution—a recursive engine that generates moments without integration:

\(E[X^{n+1}] = \mu E[X^n] + n \sigma^2 E[X^{n-1}]\)

This isn’t just a mathematical curiosity. This specific recurrence relation is the structural backbone of Quantitative Finance and Deep Learning.

When these fields fail, they fail because they violate the hierarchy of this formula. Let’s look at the math behind the money and the machines.

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