Valeriy’s Substack

Valeriy’s Substack

The Only Calibrator With a Mathematical Guarantee

Venn-Abers turned XGBoost from a liability into a production-ready model. It also destroyed CatBoost. Here’s why — and when to use it.

Valeriy Manokhin's avatar
Valeriy Manokhin
Apr 02, 2026
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Platt scaling improves log-loss in 49.8% of cases. Isotonic regression does slightly better. Temperature scaling is the gentlest of the three.

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